While November 2020 and election day are still over a year away, there are some signs of hope for the vast majority of Americans who are eager to be rid our of racist, corrupt, and incompetent Republican President.
A recent poll from NBC News and the Marist Institute for Public Opinion of three key Midwest battleground states shows that a sweeping majority of voters do not believe that Trump deserves re-election.
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A different NBC poll done with the Wall Street Journal from yesterday showed that a generic Democrat beats Trump by twelve points.
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) August 19, 2019
While by no means should these numbers be taken as any kind of certainty and the Democratic Party cannot afford to take its foot off the gas pedal for one second, it is a helpful aid in putting things in perspective.
Outside of his rabid base, Trump is enormously unpopular, and he won’t be able to use the unpopularity of Hillary Clinton as a crutch to get him over the finish line this time. Voters who were unmotivated to vote or didn’t see Trump for the threat that he really is last time around are not going to do the same thing in 2020.
Which means that we need to remind ourselves not to fall into this ridiculous “electability” trap, in which Democratic voters try to outsmart themselves by choosing who they think is “more electable” based on some nebulous, imaginary criterion of electability instead of who they actually think would make a good president.
“No one really knows what voters will do in the primaries. And there’s simply no good way to know which candidate will do best in the general election!” writes Bloomberg political scientist Jonathan Bernstein on the “electability” issue.
So perhaps we shouldn’t be worrying too much about who is the most likely to beat Trump and instead worry about who has the best plans for cleaning up his mess afterward.